Quick Take - US Election Update

As of 1:00 pm EST - 4 November

Inconclusive US election results point to heightened political instability and unrest

• Consistent with Control Risks’ pre-election forecast, the presidential race is shaping up to be decided by narrow margins in a handful of key swing states.
• Credible and certainly certified results may not be available for days-to-weeks amid legal challenges.
• President Trump’s pre-emptive claims of electoral victory and allegations of voter fraud overnight on 3 November – though widely anticipated – set the stage for political instability and uncertainty over the coming days.
• Mass demonstrations and more significant protests remain likely under a contested election scenario. Social unrest will be focused on major cities and poses an incidental threat to business.