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RiskMap 2018
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RiskMap 2018

RiskMap is our forecast of the year ahead in political and security risk. 2018 promises the strongest economic growth in a decade, but also a host of geopolitical uncertainties. In world of assertive leaders and populist imperatives, knowing the mind of the person at the top is critical.

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A tapestry of risk and opportunity on the new silk road

The Chinese Belt and Road initiative is an enticing investment opportunity, but security strategies should factor in kidnap risk in some areas.

Russia’s automotive sector: emerging from the doldrums
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Russia’s automotive sector: emerging from the doldrums

Recent data from Russia suggest that 2017 will be the first year since 2014 that an increase in domestic automotive sales is expected. The growth in sales is a positive sign not just for car manufacturers and distributors.

Saudi Arabia: Corruption investigations
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Saudi Arabia corruption investigations

The ongoing corruption investigations into members of the royal family, government officials and the economic elite are unprecedented.

Africa Risk-Reward Index
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Africa Risk-Reward Index

Competitive edge in Africa means not only figuring out the no-brainers, but staying ahead of the pack in knowing what's next.

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Riskmap 2018

The evolution of extortive crime

As technology continues to change the nature of modern life and business, so crises continue to evolve in both sophistication and complexity. Kidnapping has long been one of the highest-impact crimes for companies and their personnel, but a host of additional perils ...

Riskmap 2018

Britain stumbles, Europe takes off

For observers of the UK hoping for some much-needed clarity in 2018, the pace of Brexit negotiations in 2017 does not bode well for the year to come. Having declared progress to be lacking on the three issues most important to the Brexit process – resolving the post-Brexit rights of EU and UK citizens; protecting the ...

Riskmap 2018

Welcome to the CPXi

At the national Chinese Communist Party (CPC) Congress in October, President Xi Jinping cemented his already firm grip on power by bringing in loyalists to the Politburo Standing Committee – while excluding any potential successors – and placing them in key positions in the party and government. The aura of omnipotence Xi ...

Riskmap 2018

The global powder keg

Globalisation sought to constrain militant nationalism with shared prosperity. Trade and financial integration would make major conflict unthinkably costly. Growth would supplant military spending as a barometer of national strength. Universal access to information would help to liberate societies ...

Riskmap 2018

Russia: say 2018, think 2024

To understand what Russia will look like as a place to do business in the coming years, look beyond Vladimir Putin’s inevitable victory in the March 2018 presidential election. Russia is thinking bigger than 2018. Many of the government’s security, political and economic strategies have been worked ...

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