Geopolitical Calendar

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Date	Event	Location
27 Apr-22 May 2026	The 2026 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons	Global
The 2026 Review at the UN Headquarters in New York (US) and will provide an indication on international perspectives on non-proliferation.
9 May 2026	Victory Day Military Parade	Russia
Russia commemorates the 81st anniversary of World War II victory over Nazi Germany with a massive military parade in Moscow’s Red Square. Thousands of troops, tanks and military hardware will parade to celebrate Victory Day, the country’s most important patriotic holiday, with the Russian president reviewing the forces as part of the annual display of national military might.
16 May 2026	Nakba Day	Global
Palestinians will commemorate the Nakba (“catastrophe”), a term Palestinians use to describe the displacement of more than 700,000 Arabs during the creation of Israel in 1948. Pro-Palestinian demonstrations will take place world-wide to mark the day. There is a heightened risk of military clashes involving Israel, Hamas, Hizbullah and Iran.
20-22 May 2026	13th ICT4D Conference	Kenya
A key event for policy makers, practitioners and companies to discuss how digital technology and data innovations can drive social impact and sustainable development.
29-31 May 2026	Shangri La dialogue	Global
Singapore brings together key government leaders to discuss regional issues. The event will focus on the US and China’s role in the Indo-Pacific region, geopolitical dynamics and maritime security matters.
31 May 2026	Presidential election (first round)	Colombia
Current polling points to a runoff between left wing candidate Ivan Cepeda and a right-wing contender. The first round will determine if establishment figure, Paloma Valencia or radical outsider, Abelardo de la Espriella, advance to the runoff. Valencia would prove more attractive to centrist swing voters. Her victory would reinforce our outlook that the opposition wins the presidency.
1 Jun 2026	General elections	Ethiopia
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is highly likely to win the 2026 Ethiopian election and remain in office, with his ruling Prosperity Party expected to retain its parliamentary majority.
7 Jun 2026	Parliamentary election	Armenia
The incumbent Civil Contract party and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan currently lead independent polls. The new, pro-Russia Mer Dzevov party is likely Pashinyan’s most credible electoral challenger.
11 Jun-19 Jul 2026	FIFA World Cup	US, Canada, Mexico
It will be jointly hosted by sixteen cities - eleven in the US, three in Mexico, and two in Canada. The tournament will be the first to be hosted by three nations.
14-16 Jun 2026	G7 Leaders Summit	Global
France will host the 52nd G7 Summit in the resort town of Évian-les-Bains, Haute-Savoie. Leaders of the G7 countries (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, the US, plus the EU) will meet to discuss global economic conditions, international security, climate and development issues, and other shared priorities.
1 July 2026	USMCA review deadline day	US, Canada, Mexico
Governments must decide on the USMCA’s sixth anniversary if they want to extend the agreement. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer has indicated that due to the complexity of unresolved disputes, negotiations are likely to extend beyond the 1 July deadline.
7-8 July 2026	NATO Summit	Global
The 2026 NATO Summit will take place in Ankara, (Turkiye). Heads of state and government of the 31 NATO member countries will gather to review and direct the Alliance’s policies.
14-17 July 2026	2026 Aspen Security Forum	Global
Considered a key national security and foreign policy forum in the US, this event regularly attracts high level cabinet members and heads of intelligence agencies.
24 July 2026	Global tariff expiry	US
After the US Supreme Court invalidated tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) in February, the Trump administration announced temporary global tariffs under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. These were initially set at 10%, with the president indicating an intention to raise them to 15%, although this increase has not been made official. These tariffs will expire on 24 July, with the Trump administration likely to impose new measures before this deadline.
31 Aug-1 Sep 2026	G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting	Global
The G20 finance and central bank stakeholders will meet in Asheville, North Carolina.
Sep 2026	BRICS+ Summit	Global
IIndia chairs the BRICS+ bloc in 2026 under the theme "Building for Resilience, Innovation, Co-operation and Sustainability"
11 Sep 2026	Anniversary of the al-Qaida attacks on New York City (US) in 2001	Global
The anniversary will likely drive an uptick in Islamist extremist propaganda.
13 Sep 2026	General elections	Sweden
General elections will elect the 349 members of the Riksdag.
22-29 Sep 2026	UN General Assembly	Global
The 81st Session of the UN General Assembly will hold its high-level General Debate in New York City, with world leaders gathering from around 22 September 2026.
4 Oct 2026	General election	Brazil
Current President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads against potential far-right candidates – however, challenges to his candidacy will persist.
12-18 Oct 2026	IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings	Global
The 2026 Annual Meetings will be held in Bangkok (Thailand). Key topics will include economic growth, financial stability, poverty reduction, climate finance, and other global development priorities.
15 Oct 2026	G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting	Global
The G20 finance and central bank stakeholders will meet in Bangkok, Thailand alongside the 2026 Annual Meetings hosted by the IMF and World Bank.
19-23 Oct 2026	Conference of the Parties (COP 13) to the UN Convention against Transnational Organized Crime (UNTOC)	Global
COP13 will take place in Vienna, Austria. The meeting will focus on the implementation of UNTOC, international legal co-operation against organised crime, trafficking, smuggling, firearms and emerging crime threats.
27 Oct 2026	Legislative elections	Israel
Legislative elections will elect the 120 members of the twenty-sixth Knesset.
30-31 Oct 2026	G20 Foreign Ministers Meeting	Global
G20 foreign ministers will meet in Atlanta, Georgia.
3 Nov 2026	Off-cycle state, congressional and gubernatorial elections	US
The 2026 US midterm elections will elect all members of the House of Representatives (lower house), one third of the Senate (upper house), governors in 36 US states, and over 6,000 state legislative seats.
9-20 Nov 2026	Conference of the Parties (COP31)	Global
Australia and Turkiye will co-host the summit which will be held in Turikye.
18-19 Nov 2026	APEC Economic Leaders Summit	Global
China will host the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Economic Leaders’ Meeting in Shenzhen. Leaders of APEC’s 21 member economies (which include the US, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada, and ASEAN economies, among others) will meet to promote regional trade and investment liberalisation.
2-4 Dec 2026	UN Water Conference	Global
The UN Water Conference - launched in 2023 as a spiritual successor to the 1977 UN Water Conference - will convene in the UAE with cohost Senegal for its second edition. Its purpose is to achieve SDG 6 on Clean Water and Sanitation, with particular attention paid to the fact that the UN system is now in the final third of its fifteen-year 2030 Agenda timeline.
5 Dec 2026	Presidential elections	The Gambia
Incumbent president Adama Barrow is running for a third term.
14-15 Dec 2026	G20 Leaders Summit	Global
The 21st G20 Leaders’ Summit is scheduled for Miami (Florida). The venue will be Trump National Doral in Miami, marking the first US-hosted G20 since 2008.