Look ahead to the geopolitical events that will shape your world.


Date Event Location  
8 May 2024
Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) anniversary summit
Europe
Global
The EAEU will reportedly meet in Moscow (Russia) to hold a ten-year anniversary summit.
8 May 2024
Legislative elections and second round of presidential election
North Macedonia North Macedonia
The biggest issue for the new parliament and government will be changing constitution to recognise a Bulgarian minority. In exchange, Bulgaria will allow its West Balkan neighbour to start membership talks with the EU.
12 May 2024
Presidential election
Lithuania Lithuania
President Gitanas Nausėda is standing for re-election, and polls put him well ahead of competitors.
 12 May 2024 Regional elections in Catalonia Spain  Spain
The Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC), the Catalan branch of the centre-left Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) that governs nationally, is likely to win the most seats in the regional parliament but is highly unlikely to win an outright majority. 
15 May 2024
Nakba Day
Israel, Palestinian Territories
IsraelPalestine
Palestinians commemorate Nakba (“catastrophe”) – a term they use to refer to when more than 700,000 Arabs    fled or were expelled during the creation of Israel. Protests will likely attract higher turnouts globally, driven by the Israel-Hamas conflict.
19 May 2024
General election
Dominican Republic
Dominican Republic
President Luis Abinader, from the Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM), will likely win a second term.
20 May 2024
Presidential inauguration
Taiwan
Taiwan
Lai Ching-te’s inauguration is unlikely to cause a significant escalation of cross-Strait tensions.
21-24 May 2024
Global Supply Chain Forum
Global
Global
In Bridgetown (Barbados), government officials, business leaders and experts will attend an inaugural forum to discuss supply chain links to digitalisation, food security, transport costs, climate change, developing countries’ financing needs and how to better manage the energy transition in international transport.
23-25 May 2024
G7 finance minsters meeting
Global
Global
The meeting will take place in Stresa (Italy).
 27 May 2024 World Health Assembly
Global  Global
The 77th World Health Assembly will be held in Geneva, Switzerland and attended by delegations from all World Health Organization (WHO) member states. An agreement of a global pandemic treaty will likely be the focus of the event.
29 May 2024 General elections South Africa South Africa
General elections will be held to elect members of the 400-member National Assembly, as well as the nine provincial legislatures. The parliament will then select the president. The ruling African National Congress (ANC) is likely to remain in power through a slim majority or through a coalition with several smaller parties. President Cyril Ramaphosa is likely to be elected for a second term (until 2029 ).
30-31 May 2024
AI for Good Summit
Global
Global
The summit will bring together governments, non-profit research institutions, corporations and international organisations to discuss how to navigate an age in which technology is advancing at an exponential, unprecedented rate. 
31 May - 2 Jun 2024 IISS Shangri-La Dialogue Global Global
The Dialogue has become one of the most important independent forums for the exchange of views by international security policy decision-makers. Besides the host nation, countries that have participated in the dialogue have included most Asian countries, as well as those from North America and Europe.
1 Jun 2024
OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) 
Global
Global
The OPEC+ ministerial meeting is scheduled to meet to discuss adjusting production quotas.
1 Jun 2024 Presidential election Iceland Iceland
Incumbent president Guoni Th. Johannesson has announced he will not seek re-election in 2024. Iceland’s president is head of state with limited political powers.
2 Jun 2024
General election
Mexico
Mexico
Incumbent President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) is term-limited. The main presidential candidates will be Claudia Sheinbaum (ruling party MORENA) and Xochitl Galvez (opposition party PAN).
6-9 Jun 2024
European Parliament elections
EU
EU
Far-right and populist parties will likely receive increased support, reflecting the broader trend in recent European country elections.
7 Jun 2024 Local elections Ireland Ireland
Left-wing nationalist party Sinn Féin will likely continue its momentum of recent years of securing a large proportion of votes. 
9 Jun 2024
Parliamentary elections
Bulgaria Bulgaria
Snap elections are being held alongside the European Parliament vote in the country.
9 Jun 2024 Federal elections Belgium Belgium
The 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives will be elected for a five-year term.
13-15 Jun 2024
G7 leaders’ summit
Global
Global
The summit – held in Puglia (Italy) – will include the defence of Ukraine, the conflict between Israel-Hamas, and respect for international rules, economic and energy security, migration, and more equal partnership with Africa. 
16-20 Jun 2024 Eid al-Adha
Global Global
Celebrations marking the annual Eid al-Adha holiday have been targeted in attacks by Islamist extremist groups,  mainly in Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Middle East.
28 Jun 2024
General election
Mongolia
Mongolia
The incumbent Mongolian People’s Party (MPP) is likely to retain a majority in parliament. The  elections will see parliament expanded from 76 members to 126, following constitutional amendments in June 2023. 
29 Jun 2024 Presidential elections Mauritania Mauritania
Opposition parties are likely to continue to demand electoral reforms and call for the dissolution of the CENI if it refuses to enact reforms.
July 2024
Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)
Asia/Europe
Global
Kazakhstan will host the annual SCO summit in Astana. Belarus will reportedly join the organisation.
1 Jul - 31 Dec 2024
Hungarian Council presidency
EU
EU
Hungary is due to take over the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU, although a majority of EU leaders are likely to oppose granting Hungary greater influence over the EU policy agenda.
9-11 Jul 2024
NATO summit
Global
Global
The 2024 summit will take place in Washington DC (US) and will mark the 75th anniversary of the establishment of the alliance. Ukraine’s prospective accession to NATO is a key agenda item, though no invitation is likely to be made at this time.
15 Jul 2024
General elections
Rwanda
Rwanda
Incumbent President Paul Kagame will likely secure a fourth term, with the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) likely to retain its majority in parliament, given a tightly controlled political environment. 
15-18 Jul 2024
US Republican Party National Convention
US
USA
Delegates in Milwaukee (Wisconsin state) will select the party’s nominees for president and vice-president in the 2024 US presidential election.
16-17 Jul 2024
G7 trade ministers’ meeting
Global
Global
The meeting will take place in Villa San Giovanni in Reggio Calabria (Italy). 
26 Jul - 11 Aug 2024
2024 Summer Olympics
Global
Global
The 2024 Summer Olympics will take place in Paris and other locations around France and in French overseas territories.
28 Jul 2024 Presidential elections
Venezuela Venezuela
The government retains a variety of tools to ensure its desired electoral outcome, including control of the Consejo Nacional Electoral (National Electoral Council) and courts, dominance of state-controlled media and the deployment of government-allied irregular militias to harass and threaten the opposition and its supporters.
19-22 Aug 2024
US Democratic Party National Convention
US
USA
Delegates in Chicago (Illinois state) will select the party’s nominees for president and vice-president in the 2024 US presidential election.
1 Sep 2024
Saxony and Thuringia state elections
Germany
Germany
Saxony and Thuringia states are due to hold state elections.
1 Sep 2024 Legislative elections
Czechia Czechia
Czechia will see regional elections and the election of one-third of the Senate (upper house), serving as gauge of public sentiment for political parties ahead of the 2025 general election. 
7 Sep 2024 Presidential election
Algeria  
Authorities announced anticipated presidential elections for September 2024 instead of December 2024.  
22 Sep 2024
Brandenburg state election
Germany
Germany
Brandenberg state is due to hold state elections.
22-23 Sep 2024
Opening of the UN General Assembly/The UN Summit of the Future
Global
Global
The summit aims to enhance cooperation on critical challenges and address gaps in global governance, reaffirm existing commitments including to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the United Nations Charter, and move towards a reinvigorated multilateral system.
October 2024
Parliamentary elections
Austria
Austria
The election must be held by the end of the five-year term of the current 27th National Council on 23 October.
6 Oct 2024 Local elections Brazil Brazil
The polls are expected to reflect the rivalry between Brazil’s two main political camps, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva likely to back leftist Congressman Guilherme Boulos of the Socialism and Liberty Party who is running for mayor of Sao Paulo.
6-11 Oct 2024 ASEAN Summit 2024
Global Global
The ASEAN Summit is held twice annually and brings together heads of state and other government officials from member countries to discuss policy issues and strategic decisions.
7 Oct 2024
One-year anniversary of Hamas’ incursion into Israel
Israel/Palestinian Territories
IsraelPalestine
The date marks the first anniversary since Hamas launched a large-scale attack and kidnap operation against Israel.
9 Oct 2024
General election
Mozambique
Mozambique
Uncertainty remains around the Frelimo presidential candidate for the 2024, as a clear successor to President Filipe Nyusi is yet to emerge. 
9-11 Oct 2024
G7 health ministers’ meeting
Global
Global
The meeting will take place in Ancona (Italy).
13 Oct 2024
Legislative elections 
Lithuania
Lithuania
A government reshuffle before the scheduled elections cannot be ruled out, but any transitions are likely to be smooth. 
21 Oct - 1 Nov 2024
UN Convention on Biological Diversity (COP16) to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)
Global
Global
Colombia will host COP16; the country has 10% of the planet’s biodiversity. In 2023, a progressive agreement was made to ensure critical conservation by 2030.
22-24 Oct 2024
BRICS summit Global
Global
Russia will reportedly hold the summit in Kazan. It will be the first summit with an expanded BRICS membership.
25-27 Oct 2024
World Bank and IMF Annual Meetings Global
Global
The World Bank and IMF Annual Meetings bring together government officials, business leaders, civil society representatives and other stakeholders from around the world to address the most pressing global challenges.
26 Oct 2024
Legislative elections
Georgia
Georgia
There will be 150 seats up for election in a fully proportional electoral system with a 5% threshold for the first time. Russian influence in the country has increased in previous elections.
27 Oct 2024
General election
Uruguay
Uruguay
If no presidential candidate receives a majority in the first round of voting, a runoff will take place on 24 November 2024.
November 2024
3rd Global AI Safety summit
France
France
In November 2023, France agreed to host a 3rd Global AI Safety summit.
November 2024 Quadrilateral Security Dialogue summit
US/India/Australia/Japan
Global
The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, including Japan, Australia, the US and India, is expected to hold a summit in India at the end of 2024.
1-7 Nov 2024 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit 2024
Global Global
APEC Economic Leaders’ Week will bring together heads of state and government officials from member countries to discuss trade, investment, digitalization and sustainable growth.
5 Nov 2024
Presidential election
US
USA
Incumbent President Joe Biden will contest the presidential election against former President Donald Trump (2017-21) in a closely contested election likely to be won by small margins across a handful of swing states. There will also be elections for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 34 seats in the Senate, and 13 state and territorial governorships.
11-24 Nov 2024
The 29th Conference of the Parties (COP29) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 
Global
Global
Baku will host COP29 after Azerbaijan’s selection as host after Russia vetoed any bid by an EU country.
18-19 Nov 2024
G20 leaders’ summit
Global
Global
Brazil will host the G20 leaders’ summit in Rio de Janeiro. 
27 Nov 2024
Regional elections, including Jakarta
Indonesia
Indonesia
Regional elections are scheduled, including to elect the Jakarta governor to a five-year term.
30 Nov 2024 General election
Mauritius Mauritius
Incumbent Prime Minister Pravind Jugnauth will likely face an emboldened and increasingly united opposition. The elections will be conducted in a context of heightened anti-government sentiment given cost of living pressures and alleged corruption in the ruling Mauritian Alliance coalition government. This will fuel minor incidents of unrest, but widespread instability is highly unlikely.
December 2024
South Africa ascends to G20 Presidency
Global
Global
South Africa will take over from Brazil.
Early-Mid December 2024 GCC leaders’ summit Global
Global
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) alliance is due to hold its annual Supreme Council leaders’ summit to agree shared policy positions across member countries to drive collective policymaking and coordination over the coming year.
2-13 Dec 2024
UNCCD Conference of Parties 16th session (COP16)
Global
Global
Saudi Arabia will host the UN Convention to Combat Desertification COP16 in Riyadh. 
7 Dec 2024
General elections
Ghana
Ghana
The opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) and its presidential candidate former president John Dramani Mahama (2012-17) are likely to win the polls, defeating incumbent vice president Mahamadu Bawumia, who is the candidate of the ruling New Patriotic Party
10-11 Dec 2024 2024 Doha Forum
Qatar Qatar
The 2024 Doha Forum will address “unprecedented forces of fragmentation rippling through geopolitics, technology, and international trade”. It features prominent speakers including UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, US Envoy Tim Lenderking, Chatham House Director Bronwen Maddox, US Senator Lindsey Graham, and other political and civil society figures.

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