Geopolitical Calendar

Date	Event	Location
17 Aug 2025	General elections	Bolivia
Voters will elect the President, Vice President, and members of the legislative chambers. The elections are shaped by significant internal divisions within the ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS) party, as current President Luis Arce and former president Evo Morales, who has been barred from running, vie for influence.
20-22 Aug 2025	Tokyo International Conference on African Development (TICAD 9)	Global
The conference will take place at Pacifico Yokohama in Kanagawa Prefecture. Co-hosted by Japan, the United Nations, UNDP, the World Bank, and the African Union Commission, the summit will bring together African leaders, development partners, and international organisations to promote dialogue on sustainable development, trade, investment, and peacebuilding across the continent. A concurrent TICAD Business Expo & Conference will include exhibitions, panel discussions, and networking forums aimed at enhancing public-private cooperation.
31 Aug-1 Sep 2025	The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Summit	Global
The 25th Heads of State Council meeting will take place in Tianjin (China). The partnership plays an important role in facilitating the security presence of Russia and China in Central Asia and beyond.
1 Sep 2025	General elections	Guyana
Centre-left President Irfaan Ali of the People's Progressive Party Civic (PPP/C) is likely to be re-elected. However, opposition parties will likely secure a majority in the National Assembly (legislature).
8 Sep 2025	Parliamentary elections	Norway
Norway’s polls will decide the composition of the 169-seat parliament (Storting). The incumbent centre-left Labour party is likely to win the elections but is unlikely to secure a majority.
9-23 Sep 2025	UN General Assembly	Global
The event will bring together global leaders, stakeholders, policymakers and experts to discuss a plethora of critical issues.
11 Sep 2025	The anniversary of the 2001 terrorist attacks in the US on 11 September	Global
The period around the anniversary will likely coincide with increased propaganda from al-Qaida and its affiliates, including calls for attacks against the US, Israel and other countries. The global terrorism threat remains elevated driven by insecurity stemming from the Israel-Hamas conflict.
16 Sep 2025	General elections	Malawi
Incumbent President Lazarus Chakwera of the Malawi Congress Party will seek re-election against former president Peter Mutharika of the opposition Democratic Progressive Party. The 193 members of the National Assembly will also be elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies.
21-28 Sep 2025	Climate Week 2025	Global
Climate Week 2025 will be held in New York City from 21 to 28 September. The annual event hosts business leaders, politicians, and civil society groups to discuss solutions to the climate crisis. Events are held in across the five boroughs, with no central location.
28 Sep 2025	Parliamentary elections	Moldova
The ruling, pro-Western and pro-presidential Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) is the favourite to win the elections but faces the loss of its majority as the economy remains stagnant despite promises of improvement by PAS. Uncertainty about the vote's outcome remains high as many voters are disillusioned and disapprove of all political forces.
3-4 Oct 2025	Legislative elections	Czechia
A government led by former Prime Minister Andrej Babis (populist and centrist party ANO) is the most likely outcome of the election, though ANO will likely need coalition partners, potentially including the far-right, populist alliance led by Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD)’s Tomio Okamura.
7 Oct 2025	Anniversary of the onset of the Israel-Hamas conflict	Global
The anniversary will likely prompt an uptick in extremist propaganda globally, and increased intent to mount attacks from Islamist extremists, including in the Middle East, North Africa and Western countries.
12 Oct 2025	Presidential election	Cameroon
Incumbent President Paul Biya of the Cameroon People’s Democratic Movement (RDPC/CPDM) will likely seek re-election against a splintered opposition. The ruling party is likely to win the presidential election amid a fragmented opposition.
13-18 Oct 2025	World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) Annual Meeting	Global
Experts, politicians and financial stakeholders will gather in Washinton DC (US) to discuss critically relevant issues to the global economy.
25 Oct 2025	Presidential election	Cote D’Ivoire
Incumbent President Alassane Ouattara, in office since 2011, is likely to run for a fourth term and win. Key opposition figures – including Tidjane Thiam, chairman of the Democratic Party of Côte d’Ivoire – are ineligible to stand for the presidency.
26 Oct 2025	Legislative elections	Argentina
President Javier Milei’s right-leaning La Libertad Avanza (LLA) party will likely increase its number of seats in Congress (legislature).
27 Oct 2025	Presidential election	Ireland
Incumbent president Michael Higginis is term-limited.
28-31 Oct 2025	APEC 2025 Summit	Global
South Korea selected “Building a Sustainable Tomorrow: Connect, Innovate, Prosper” as the theme and priorities for APEC 2025. It will discuss ways to strengthen the multilateral trading system with WTO at its core and economic competitiveness of the Asia-Pacific region through innovation and digitalization. It will also cover responding to global challenges such as energy issues, climate change, health, food security, and change in demographics.
29 Oct 2025	Parliamentary elections	The Netherlands
Early elections are being held following the collapse of the coalition government. Prime Minister Dick Schoof (independent) on 3 June submitted his cabinet’s resignation after the far-right Party for Freedom (PVV) announced its withdrawal from the coalition. Shifting voter preferences have increased the likelihood of political deadlock between the three leading parties: Wilders’ PVV, the liberal People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) party, and the alliance of centre-left Labour Party (PvdA) and environmentalist GreenLeft (GL).
31 Oct-2 Nov 2025	2025 IISS Manama Security Dialogue	Global
A unique forum for ministers, policymakers and decision-makers to debate the Middle East’s most pressing foreign-policy, defence and security challenges.
4 Nov 2025	Off-year elections	United States
The off-year election includes gubernatorial and state legislative elections in a few states, as well as numerous mayoral races and a variety of other local offices.
7 Nov 2025	G20 Joint Finance and Health Ministerial Meeting	Global
The meeting will take place virtually. It will likely focus on mobilising financing mechanisms to combat health challenges, especially in global south countries.
10-20 Nov 2025	UN Climate Change Conference (COP30)	Global
Brazil will host the conference in the hope of making significant progress in climate agreements.
11 Nov 2025	Parliamentary election	Iraq
Elections will take place to elect the members of the federal parliament. Prominent Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr has called for a boycott of the electoral process; however, it remains unclear whether this boycott is certain or a strategic manoeuvre to gain political leverage.
11-15 Nov 2025	18th European Public Health Conference 2025	Europe
The conference is scheduled to take place from 11-14 November 2025, at the Finlandia Hall in Helsinki, Finland. This year's theme, "Investing for Sustainable Health and Well-being," aims to explore the connections between health, well-being, and sustainable development, highlighting how investing in health supports social, economic, and environmental sustainability.
16 Nov 2025	Presidential elections	Chile
Chile will vote for a new president and national legislators. The right-wing opposition Chile Vamos coalition's candidate, former Providencia mayor Evelyn Matthei (2016-24), will likely win the presidency; if a run-off is needed, it will be held on 14 December 2025.
22-23 Nov 2025	G20 Leaders Summit	Global
The 2025 G20 Leaders' Summit will occur in South Africa. South African President Cyril Ramaphosa has put forth an agenda under the theme “Solidarity, Equality, and Sustainability” that builds on items addressed at recent G20 meetings in Brazil, India, and Indonesia. South Africa’s G20 agenda seeks to address issues that are especially important to emerging economies and will focus on climate change–related disaster resilience, debt relief for developing countries, and the mobilization of finance for a just energy transition. There will also be task forces on inclusive economic growth, food security, and technology governance.
30 Nov 2025	General election	Honduras
The president, members of the National Congress, and 20 representatives to the Central American Parliament will be elected.